England, Sri Lanka, and Afghanistan cannot afford washouts in T20 World Cup scenarios.

 Despite being in first place in group 1 after their 65-run victory over Sri Lanka, there is still a lot of room for improvement in the group's remaining six games. Here is a comparison of the teams in the battle for the two semi-final spots.



New Zealand

Matches: vs. England, Ireland, 3, Played: 5, Points: 5, NRR: 3.850


In terms of both points and much more so, net run rate, New Zealand have separated itself from the other sides in the group. Given their strong NRR, a victory in any of their final two games should guarantee qualification. They will need a number of other outcomes to go their way, though, if they drop both games, in order for them to qualify with five points.

England

3, played, 3, points, 3, NRR, 0.239, rematches against NZ, SL


England may suffer severe consequences from the loss to Ireland.


For their match against New Zealand on Tuesday, rain is predicted in Brisbane. If points are shared in that match, England would finish with a maximum of six points, which is not what they want because New Zealand (with a much better NRR) would also reach six points and Australia can get up to seven if they defeat both Ireland and Afghanistan.


NRR may come into play if three teams—New Zealand, England, and Australia—finish with seven points if England earns four points from their final two games.

Ireland played three matches, scoring three points, and had two rematches against Australia and New Zealand.


Ireland's future is in their own hands: independent of other outcomes, if they follow up their victory over England with victories over heavyweights Australia and New Zealand in their remaining two games, they will go to the semifinals. They have a 0-5 T20I record against the two teams, which is their dilemma.

Australia played three games, scoring three points, and having two rematches against Ireland and Afghanistan.


Australia's final two games are against Ireland and Afghanistan, the two newest Full Members. If they win both games, they will have seven points, but Australia will also want to make up for their tournament-opening 89-run defeat to New Zealand. If it comes down to NRR, the margin of that loss can be detrimental to them.

South Asia

3, played, 2, points, NRR -0.890, rematches vs. Afghanistan, England


Sri Lanka will finish first in group 1 with six points if they win their next two games, New Zealand loses both of their remaining contests, and Australia defeats Ireland but falls to Afghanistan. If things don't work out that way, Australia and New Zealand will both end with seven points. The only option left for Sri Lanka is to win its final two games and then hope.



If the weather prognosis for Brisbane, where they are set to play Afghanistan, on Tuesday holds true, they might not even have an opportunity to earn their maximum six points.

Afghanistan played three matches, scored two points, and lost against Sri Lanka and Australia.


If Afghanistan wins both of their games and New Zealand loses both of theirs, they will have the same chance to win the group—six points—as Sri Lanka. They will, however, be hoping to play some cricket first after their previous two matches were called off before a ball was even bowled. According to the Brisbane weather forecast for Tuesday, a third such match may take place. All six teams in the group could end with exactly five points if that game is canceled and other outcomes follow a specific pattern.

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